♥ ★ ☆ ☮ ESTELLA, TE QUIERO MAÑANA ☮ ☆ ★ ♥
Good day Everybody!! I'm Back lolAlways bringing you the very bestNew Rock Music Videosavailable to you, right here, right now on yourfavorite game site,GameDesireThis song is from KennyHoopla Feat. Travis Barkeris called "Estella"and is a song I love and so will you.and was releasedNov 25th, 2020!!!!Thats LIKE DAYS AGO!!!!ARE YOU FCKN' Kidding me???
How FRESH is that? lolololololMy DOO DOO is ALWAYS so, so, so Fresh!༼ ºل͟º ༽
As promised, New Rock Music Videos,signed, sealed & delivered...RELEASEDNov. 25th, 2020...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5VyrdvBjeYEstella, EstellaA coming to lifeMelting in my heartGetting high off your own supplyI understandWe are only friendsBut your eyes keep telling meTo take you inOh in your carI get to fadeOh in your roomWhy don't we take a chanceSo on your lipsThen we come aliveI'm knocking on every piece of woodI don't wanna fake it til I make itI don't need to see it to believe itI don't need to touch it, I can taste itAll the shame feels the same when the pain hitsI just dieAt the thought of being aliveAt the same time as youEstella, I'm jealousNo indecisionThis timeI want it allI love you too muchI hate myselfEnoughFor the both of usUnstow your arms, this war is a wasteMaybe shoot your arrow this way?My scars of love, I'll honor greatSome live, some die, but we will stayI don't wanna fake it til I make itI don't need to see it to believe itI don't need to touch it, I can taste itAll the shame feels the same when the pain hitsI just dieAt the thought of being aliveAt the same time as you
(⌣́_⌣̀)
«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-»«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-The Things We Do Not Know
Yesterday I found out that a long time online friend had passed away. I was devastated to say the least. Then only hours later I found out more devastating news about this friend. When I learned of the death my heart hurt, then the other news followed and my mind was enraged. I struggled with this information all day and all night. Then this morning God said to me, "Sylvia it is not your place to judge this person. You only saw the side of them that they allowed you to see. You do not know if they had asked for forgiveness for their sins. Only I know that and only I will judge them accordingly."My heart still hurts and my mind still is reeling, but I have placed this in the hands of God. I feel a peace now that I did not feel yesterday. I will still miss this friend regardless of the things I know. I can only pray that this friend asked for forgiveness and made peace with God.May God have mercy on your soul.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkYL1b7MCEwYa No Quiero Andar Contigo (
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vb7qB5MEnuA♥ ★ ☆ ☮ LONG LIVE THE KING ☮ ☆ ★ ♥
Good day Everybody!! I'm Back lolAlways bringing you the very bestNew Rock Music Videosavailable to you, right here, right now on yourfavorite game site,GameDesireThis song is from Cannonsis called "Fire For You"and is a song I love and so will you.and was releasedOct 1st, 2021!!!!Thats LIKE DAYS AGO!!!!ARE YOU FCKN' Kidding me??? How FRESH is that? lolololololMy DOO DOO is ALWAYS so, so, so Fresh!༼ ºل͟º ༽
As promised, New Rock Music Videos,signed, sealed & delivered...RELEASEDOCT 1ST, 2020...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4HQevc9JE0I was on fire for youWhere did you go?I could've died for youHow could you not know?I was alive with youBut you brought in the coldWas I being lied to? Wish I never met youStarted to regret youMy heart just droppedThinkin' about youThe world just stopsWhen I'm without youI was on fire for youI was on fire for youI was on fire for youYou breaking me downDon't know what should I doWhen you come aroundI'm leaving without you, loveI have no choiceI know I'm being lied to, I just need some time toStop thinking about youMy heart just droppedThinkin' about youThe world just stopsWhen I'm without youMy heart just droppedThinkin' about youThe world just stopsWhen I'm without youI was on fire for youI was on fire for youI was on fire for youI was on fire for youI was on fire for you
KING OF TALK...
"DON'T SAY GOOD BYESAY "SO LONG"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8KiInLX2QFw(⌣́_⌣̀)«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-»«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-MIGHT DOES NOT ALWAYS MAKE RIGHT
First let me make one thing clear this blog in no way has anything to do with what is going on in politics. This is about how when a group of like minded people get together, sometimes they do not make sure they are right in what they agree on, before they try to act on it. Sometimes these people will act out with hostility against someone who is standing alone, simply because that person is an easy target. Also sometimes they gather together as a group because of a mob mentality. I know of at least one person in my own family who can get others to jump on his side right or wrong against another family member, because the other family members are worried if they do not he will start in on them.It is always a bad thing when an angry group goes at one person, ESPECIALLY if the angry group is wrong, or just picking on the one person because they are bored and think it is funny. Sometimes people do not realize when one says something they think is funny it may hurt someone else's feelings, because it is mean to put someone else down for your enjoyment. They also do not realize their mean words can cut a sensitive person like a knife, especially if they liked the person saying it before they said it .Again lets drift back to my brother. I stopped him from acting that way for about 15 years he is now starting it up again. I do not know if people like this think that they make themselves taller by trying to cut someone else down, but it is not fair. People should be allowed to be themselves irregardless if someone understands them or not. God made us all so even if you do not understand someone know they are as they were intended to be. It does not matter if we understand why or not.What gets me is when people would rather attack someone that is different then themself, rather then to try to understand why they are as they are. EVERYONE should try to be more tolerant and understanding of others, because some day they themselves may be the one being picked at by a group of people who are in the wrong too.♥ ★ ☆ ☮ FO SLEEPY JOE ☮ ☆ ★ ♥
Good day Everybody!! I'm Back lolAlways bringing you the very bestNew Rock Music Videosavailable to you, right here, right now on yourfavorite game site,GameDesireThis song is from Fousheéis called "Deep End"and is a song I love and so will you.and was releasedJuly 30th, 2021!!!!Thats DAY's AGO!!!!ARE YOU FCKN' Kidding me??? How FRESH is that? lolololololMy DOO DOO is ALWAYS so, so, so Fresh!༼ ºل͟º ༽
As promised, New Rock Music Videos,signed, sealed & delivered...RELEASEDJuly 30th, 2020....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEgilud6tRULyric version...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8uQqaauS5UAI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give me a reasonI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give me a reasonHad to come and flip the scriptHad a big bone to pickGot the short end of sticks, so we made a fire with itLet it burn to a crisp, now that's a sure fire flipShe's a boss, she's a b*tchI'll take that as a complimentI see 'em moving real low, but leave 'em on a high noteAlways lead with love, yoMama raised me thoroughThey better wake up, n*ggas on the way upYou ain't finna play herShawty gon' get that paperShawty tongue rip like razorShawty got wit, got flavorPardon my tits and make-up, uh, uh, pay herDribble then hit that lay upShawty ain't with them games, yuhShawty gon' get that paper, pay herI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give me a reasonI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give, give meI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give me a reasonI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give, give mePlease proceed to light this b*tch upLife ain't fair, you fight for your cutThink I spy your eye on my bucksGreat, look, now the lion woke upYou eying my shit, inquiring shitLive for the minor event, I finally slipBuilt on the bodies of men, nobody winningContain what I'm bottling in just benefits themShawty gon' get that paperShawty tongue rip like razorShawty got wit, got flavorPardon my tits and make-up, uh, uh, pay herDribble then hit that lay upShawty ain't with them games, yuhShawty gon' get that paper, pay herI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give me a reasonI been trying not to go off the deep endI don't think you wanna give, give me.
(⌣́_⌣̀)«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-»«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-Camilo - Ropa Cara
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrtMpe0WOpcPutting Me 1st
I’m not a failure but I’ve failed.I’m not a mistake but I’ve screwed up.I’m not a disaster but I don’t always get it right.Truth be told,I’ve fallen more times than I can count and I’m okay with that- I learned from each failure.I’ve stumbled, failed and made more mistakes than most people,But then, I’m not like most people...They haven’t had to claw and scratch to find their way, to survive, just to be happy.I had to be strong when I thought I had nothing left because I didn’t have any other options.I surrendered everything that I was to become who I was meant to be.The critics don’t know what it means to be at the end of their rope and not know where to turn.But you see, that’s where my story begins- where everyone else’s tale stops.I didn’t just crash and burn,I fell and crashed into a million pieces.I shattered in ways that most can never recover from,But that’s just the beauty of my story-It’s a tale of massive failures and anguishing struggle,It’s a journey of broken hearts and wounded wings..But more than that,My path is a story of triumph amongst the tragedy,Rising from the ashes and finding myself when not long before, I couldn’t even find my way.It’s a rekindling of my fire when my spark was almost gone.There were many times I was down and out,So lost in the darkness I couldn’t even see the light..But that’s what makes me who I am and part of my indomitable spirit.I uncovered my strength and unleashed my courage.I clawed my way out of the abyss into the light.I didn’t know how I’d make it some days, but somehow I always found a way.I don’t need help up and I don’t want a hand out.You can keep your sympathy, I’m gorgeous in all the ways that matter, deep and soulful.I want someone to walk beside me and appreciate everything that went into making me the beautifully broken heart that roared back from the fire.Equal, no more and no less.Love me for me and all my splendid chaos and you’ll begin to understand the fire in my heart.I have magic in my spirit and a passion in my heart that nothing can take away from me.So, honey, understand that life may knock me down and I’ll have to fight harder some days,But you can’t keep a strong person down, ever.So, stand with me or stand aside, I have places to go and dreams to catch.Like most wild creatures,I was always meant to be free.These wings they’re made to soar.Love me the way that I deserve or let me go.. you’ll never keep me in a cage when I’m meant to fly high.????/ ????/ ????/ SHUT UP WHEN I'M TALKING TO YOU \???? \???? \????
Good day Everybody!! I'm Back lolAlways bringing you the very bestNew Rock Music Videosavailable to you, right here, right now on yourfavorite game site,GameDesireThis song is from Linkin Parkis called "One Step Closer"and is a song I love and so will you.and was releasedJan. 16th, 2021!!!!Thats DAY's AGO!!!!ARE YOU FCKN' Kidding me??? How FRESH is that? lolololololMy DOO DOO is ALWAYS so, so, so Fresh!༼ ºل͟º ༽
As promised, New Rock Music Videos,signed, sealed & delivered...Live Version...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7Gaqd2-UtARELEASEDJan. 16th, 2021...TWENTY YEAR ANNIVERSARYhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KVdwfjVSLnA[Chester Bennington:]I cannot take this anymoreSaying everything I've said beforeAll these words they make no senseI find bliss in ignoranceLess I hear the less you'll sayYou'll find that out anywayJust like before...Everything you say to meTakes me one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to breakI need a little room to breathe'Cause I'm one step closer to the edgeI'm about to breakI find the answers aren't so clearWish I could find a way to disappearAll these thoughts: they make no senseI find bliss in ignoranceNothing seems to go awayOver and over againJust like before...Everything you say to meTakes me one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to breakI need a little room to breathe'Cause I'm one step closer to the edgeI'm about to breakEverything you say to meTakes me one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to breakI need a little room to breathe'Cause I'm one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to... break!Shut up when I'm talking to youShut up, shut up, shut upShut up when I'm talking to youShut up, shut up, shut up, shut upI'm about to break!Everything you say to meTakes me one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to breakI need a little room to breathe'Cause I'm one step closer to the edgeI'm about to breakEverything you say to meTakes me one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to breakI need a little room to breathe'Cause I'm one step closer to the edgeAnd I'm about to...Break!.
(⌣́_⌣̀)«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)-»«-(¯`v´¯)-« (っ◔◡◔)っ »-(¯`v´¯)->MacOS BACKGAMMON - 2021
@Gamedesire - Will backgammon be available to play on the MacOS Gameroom App anytime soon?HELP, I can't access Rummy 500 anymore to play. Its asking for an application
Can someone help me? I can no longer access Rummy 500 to play. Its asking for an applocation.Donde Está El Amor
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=POP9_phDB2gGAMEDESIRE
Witam miłych ludzi, chcę życzyć szczęśliwego weekendu, wraz ze wszystkimi swoimi bliskimi, pocałunki!!
WOW JUST WOW
I just saw on my home page that the people arming because they are afraid a civil war may start with the swearing in of the new president. Seriously I think EVERYONE ON ALL SIDES need to take a step back, count to ten and then take a few deep breaths. After that I think they ALL really need to look at what they are doing and what they may start if they try anything stupid and pointless. I can not help remembering a line from M*A*S*H I do not remember the exact quote, but it went something like " What good is it to win a war, if you destroy your home doing it." Way i see it is if you are a true American and a believer in the our government, at this point you need to just calm down and trust in the process that it will all work out. BRIGHT SIDE: even if it does not we get to do it all over again in 4 years lol. So calm down, and saver the country by not destroying it.WHAT IS GOING ON ?
What is going on with the mail service in this country today? In the past month I have had 2 bill payments not show up at the companies to which I issued them. My neighbor was told by her mail man that he put her package in a locked parcel box and put the key in her locked mail box, but when she opened it no package. What irritates me is the one bill payment that went missing was to a company that has not received my payments in the past after I sent them. Ironic thing is after I reissued the payment the original one showed up and was credited to my account too. I do not know what is going on with the mail service in this country, but I wish they would sort it out. Before any of you suggest electronic pay may I point out when you put all that info on line it makes it easier for crooks to get hold of your info. I spent my whole life building good credit and I really do not want it messed up at this time in my life. I think the postal service should get things sorted out so it runs correctly. While I am at it i REALLLLLLLLLLY HATE this thing of throwing packages on you porch and not even knocking on the door before they run back to their trucks. I get it if they do not want face to face contact with the houses they are delivering too, but they should at least knock so people know to look for packages thrown on their porches.I think it would be really cool if someone would invent a box to put the parcels in that would ring a bell inside the house to let the owner know a delivery had been made. It would also be cool if it was unlocked till the delivery person put the package inside and pushed a button on it to lock it so it could only be opened by the owner. BTW if any of you think this is a good idea and want to make it, go for it just remember I want a free one for giving you the idea lol.GAMEDESIRE
Dobranoc dla wszystkich ludzi Gamedesire, dziękuję za uczynienie mnie spędzić przyjemne chwile, przepraszam za nie rozmawiać z wieloma, ponieważ mam języków krzyżowych, dużo podróżować i mówić po angielsku, ale na pandemii jestem w Argentynie, i mieszam hiszpański, angielski i mój własny język, proszę proszę dbać o siebie, dziękuję z serca!!!Jokes
My Ex wife called me up and said our daughter called me a bad name, I asked her what did she call her, she replied I am not repeating itI asked her was it the B word she said NO I then asked her if it was the C word she said NOThen I said well she didn't hear it from me.Dear Voters
Much of what I see in America troubles me greatly. The point on my mind today is the erosion of the first amendment in the name of kindness, or of seditious speech, or any infringement on that most sacred of our rights.
As a girl, my father taught me an object lesson on this issue early on. The Klan was holding a rally in Dallas, where I grew up, and I told him that they shouldn't say those things, or even think them, because it was evil. His response was to tell his five-year-old that while I might not like what was being said, as an American, I had to be willing to defend to the death their right to say it, because freedom of speech was not guaranteed in all countries, and that it must be zealously guarded in order to maintain it.
The lesson stuck. I see a lot of people saying things I don't agree with, or don't like, or don't think are wise. I see the bully media, our political class, and bots on Twitter (may it go bankrupt) drumming up hatred and division between us, and we the sheeple going along with it and even joining the chorus. At the rate it's going it won't end well.
Thomas Jefferson believed we would need a revolution every 50 years in order to maintain our republic, and maybe we do -- that decision is well above my pay grade. But I think we can all take a note here and consider our rights -- and our obligations.
We have a right to free speech, and concomitantly an obligation to use it wisely. We can't control the braying chorus, but we can control ourselves.
Dear Mr President
Dear Mr President,Do you not think it may be time for you to stop all these temper tantrums and inciting violence to try to keep you in charge of a country who no longer wants you to run it. My brother and sister were BOTH supporters of you all along. I did not dare say anything against you or your policies to my brother, but the way you have been presenting your self since the election is not that of a strong businessman You are acting more as one would expect a small child to act if someone took away their favorite toy. All the yelling, texting, posting, and inciting others to do your dirty work for you does not show a strong figure to whom I would want to put my loyalties behind.All you had to do was be professional as so many of your predecessors have done in the past, finish out your term and hand the keys to the white house to the next man in line. In instead of presenting yourself as a good strong man who always had the best interest of this country in his heart, you are stirring up those who think you were a good man and causing riots in an attempt to strong arm yourself into another term. Sir that is not how this country works. We would not still be here as a strong united country if those that came before you had all acted like you are.I understand with all your wealth you are used to getting what you want, the bad thing for you is this country was not built by the rich and powerful people. It was built by the common man who put his heart and sole into keeping it strong. It is "A GOVERNMENT OF THE PEOPLE BY THE PEOPLE AND FOR THE PEOPLE". No here in there does it say that it is a government that follows just one mans opinions to the end. Why do you think presidents are only allowed 2 terms and not more?? It is because this country did not want a monarchy. The way you have been acting recently it appears you are an all powerful king not a president. The UNITED STATES OF AMERICA will not stand for this behavior.On a sidebar note you have children that some news people suggested may want to run for office in the future. Can you not see your actions at this time may hurt their chances of winning later? It is said the apple does not fall far from the tree. Do you not think that maybe people would flash back to your self centered, spoiled child behavior, and wonder if your children got into office, if they would react the same when it was their time to go?You should think of all the things I have said in this blog before making another move designed to disrupt the democratic process.Such is life .. Some play for keeps Some for fun
Well my old friend said to me That I ain't being what I'm supposed to be Well I don't know it could be true I know I wasn't always there for you And now you're ready to walk out You're ready to run Talk to me can't you see I would never want to do what it Seems I've done You can't deal me the aces and think I Wouldn't play Don't let this be the reason you would Walk away The things you think I should do I've never understood that part of you You know I've tried to be a friend But you feel underminded and hurt again Now don't let it convince you Please don't take it to heart Compromise and realize You can never really run everything You start You can't deal me the aces and think I Wouldn't play Don't let this be the reason you would Walk away And I guess I said I couldn't see How thing's could turn out like they've Come to be And if I lied and if I knew Well I was only trying to think of youYa No Insistas Corazón
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ywHnFq1YqAsome horse racing methods i have discovered and will share and maybe you can refine them
like most discoveries, i fell upon this by accident and it was because of something that would frustrate me at first. i call this THE SUPER FAVORITE. i was testing another system i bought. it uses the odds of the last three races. you add them up and if they are less than 12, it provides the ideal odds range to bet these horses because they are overlays. i won't tell too much about this system, since i bought it and don't want to get in trouble, but it is called "across the board overlays." you don't find alot of races where a horse fits the requirement of the odds total, but what frustrated me me was when i would find a race where more than one, sometimes even three horses all had odds in there last 3 races that total 12 or less when added up. this system, generally, focuses on horses that have very low odds in their last three races, and usually are the favorite or very close to it in all three of those races. the frustration came when i would finally find a horse that qualified this way then then there is another horse or two in the same race that also qualify. this is when i noticed something......when there are more than 1 qualifiers, especially more than 2 qualifiers....whoever ends up being the favorite at post time is a SUPER FAVORITE and is almost damned sure to win. these horses were ranked , by the betting public, as top contenders in ALL of their last three races and whichever horse out of these ends up being the favorite tonight simply has to be one hell of a horse. something is up....especially if it is a hot favorite. now, i made a previous post about when to bet beaten favorites....this SUPER FAVORITE, is probably one of the best beaten favorites to bet next time, ESPECIALLY if its odds remain low or it is a favorite again. i did a short study, because it is tedious to keep trach of when a horse runs again etc.....but out of 10 races, where a beaten SUPER FAVORITE ran again....7 out 10 races winners, 2 seconds and 1 third. and these horses win with authority and run very determined races. if anybody has any ideas or wants to tweak this method, maybe you will give me a post.the nest system i've been tracking started as a joke and is so ridiculously simple i am having a hard time believing the results. i use this at the harness races and it is a long shot system. the system?? whichever horse has the fastest THIRD QUARTER FRACTION in its last race. that is basically it...it is stupid that this works so often. people focus on the first quarter speed of a horse...or the final ( FOURTH ) quarter speed, and completely ignore the THIRD QUARTER. if you go and check out the last month of harness racing at woodbine/mohawk and and see the results of the horses with the fastest third quarter fraction, you will laugh and how often they win and how huge the payoffs are. i am just tracking this method but i would not bet these horses at odds lower than 5 -1. they are coming in at 20 -1...30 -1.....i got one at 60 -1 ....and all it took was about 10 seconds to scan the program. thats it...ONE FACTOR HANDICAPPING. there are some things or rules to consider, it tends to help the selection process. the time should be on the same track ( but you can catch some horses coming from lower class half mile tracks that show a third quarter time even faster than the horses its running agsinst have shown at woodbine/mohawk ). the horse should show improvement in its position and lengths behind, it doesn't have to be much. this enforces that its fast third quarter time was a good effort compared to the other horses and that it just wasn't only running AS FAST as everyone else. if it shows a fast third quarter time and EVERYONE ELSE was also going that fast, because the horse hasn't improved or has lost ground, then the third quarter time doesn't suggest anything exceptional. works best when the selected horse is starting from the inside post positions and has to work less to get a good position at the start or have to come from too far back ( for woodbine/mohawk, post position 6 and lower, post 6 is actually the best performing post position for some reason ). avoid races where there are ties. only bet when the odds are generous, above 5 - 1 at the very least. these horses tend to be overlays, i believe, because the betting public focuses on early speed ( first quarter ) or late speed ( fourth quarter ) and overlooks the third quarter fraction and these horses end up being overlays. when these horses go off at 10-1 to 15- 1 i feel as confident betting on them as if they were at 3 - 1 odds. do not bet on them if they finished 1st or 2nd in their last race. you won't be getting odds and the horse has already been spent. there are certain races i will avoid, these being when the selection had a decent race and looks fairly well suited for the race but is the second biggest long shot or the biggest long shot and there are two horses in the race that are BOTH hot favorites and below 2-1 odds. something is up there.....the betting public can overlook betting value, but not by this much. the show payoffs are amazing and i would bet these horses in the following betting unit amount : 2 to win 2 to place 10 to show. these horses pay more to show than favorites or second favorites pay to win, you get all your money and then some. if you don't mind riding long streaks of losing, playing them to win is probably the best in the long run. they win about 25 percent of the time, in my estimation. if you have any ideas about these, or tweaks....give me a post. ( it is damned near impossible to have a rigid, completely mechanical method and set of rules when it comes to horse racing. but the experience you gain trying this method will develop a good instinct and you might find a few more rules or exceptions......however, i find when a system become too rigid, a lot of opportunities are missed, and if the rules are too lax, a lot of money is thrown away. yet i believe, just blindly betting the horse with the third quarter lowest fraction every time, when there are no ties, will wield you a profit. the payoffs are just too big and frequent )p.s one race result to illustrate the value you can get and why value is important. the 10th race at woodbine ( harness racing ) december 21. the number 4 horse, PREMIER CABERNET HAD THE FASTEST THIRD QUARTER FRACTION 27 3/5 SECONDS. it improved its lengths behind and had also made a big move to challenge for the lead during the third quarter when it ran that fast fraction. going off at 9-1. there was a very hot favorite that was dropping in class called MACK MY KISS, going off at 3/5. this means if you bet 5 bucks on this horse, you get back 8 bucks...a 3 dollar profit on your 5 dollar bet.......SHIT. it looked like PREMIER CABERNET was going to fade as they got to the top of the stretch with two horses ahead of him, but it rallied and got the motor running and about halfway down the stretch it looked like it was actually going to win it and just missed by a nose, so close!!! MACK MY KISS won. here is the point......i bet in units of 2 to win 2 to place and 10 to show. lets assume that is 2 dollars to win and place and 10 dollars to show......MACK MY KISS paid a lousy $3.30 to win....a lousy $2.80 to place and a shitty $2.50 to show ( for each 2 dollar bet ) if i bet him i would have gotten back, 3.30 + 2.80 + ( 5 x 2.50 = 12.50) for a total of 18.60 - my intial 14.00 dollar bet = $4.80 profit....and we won the race!! but i bet PREMIER CABERNET, who just came second, and i got 8.90 back for the place bet and 5 x 3.70 = 18.50 for the show bet for a total of 27.40 - 14.00 (initial bet ) = 13.40 profit.....essentially double the amount i bet. almost 3 times more than the winner. this is why...it is not about picking winners, its about betting on value. i don't know why people will pile on a horse like this and bet into a horse going off at 3/5 odds, but it is good that they do, they create opportunities for me. my horse paid more to SHOW than the winner paid to WIN for christ sake.one more simple angle for horse racing, when to bet beaten favorites.
a beaten favorite is a horse that had the most money bet on it and had the lowest odds in its last race and lost the race. the betting public , by making it the favorite, have ranked it is the best horse in the race, usually in a field of 8 to 9 horses. what has been observed in horse racing, is that losing favorites tend to 'bounce back' in their nest race and win more often than they should next time out. quite often, if they don't race very well when they are the favorite, the betting public tends not to bet as much on them next time out, and these horses 'bounce back' and win at very generous odds. so, when is it the best time to bet a losing favorite?? i am only going to give you the most basic and simple form of this method : the best time to bet on a losing favorite in its next race is WHEN IT IS THE FAVORITE AGAIN. that is the nuts and bolts of it. there are a few other factors, like, make sure the last race it was in, where it lost as the favorite is NOT the fasted race it has ever had or the fastest time in its last 6 starts. for some reason, horses that ran their fastest time in their last race do not win as often as they should next time out. weird, but true. a beaten favorite that becomes the favorite again in its next race has a staggering win rate than can approach 66 percent. these horses are almost certain to run at least third, a SHOW BET more than 90 percent of the time. the time factor helps and the horse having one of the top 5 drivers/riders helps but basically....he was the favorite last week and lost, tonight he is the favorite again......bet that sucker!!! this is a brutally strong angle.for those of you that like horse racing, a very clever method of selecting high percentage winners that is a hidden factor
the beauty of this method is that it is invisible by looking at the racing programs past starts. for this method you need to see the chart results of the last race a horse was in. here is why, you can, for example see in the programs past performances that a horse finished second by half a length in its las race, and find another horse that also finished second by half a length, yet one of them is a vastly better bet than the other, regardless of time. let me explain first that horses that have won in their last race are more likely to win again than horses that did not win in their last race. similarily, horses that finished second have a better chance of winning than horses that did not do as good as second place. but not all wins or second places are the same. a horse that just manages to win by half a length will not do as well, in its next race, as a horse that wins by 6 lengths, or 2 lengths, etc. basically, horse that blow away the field by large margins tend to do much better in their next race than horses that win by close margins. sometimes, huge margins are concealed by the way the race programs past performances are presented. what if the program shows a horse won by half a length, but when you look at the chart of the race, you see that the winner and the second place horse were BOTH AHEAD of the rest of the horses by more than 6 lengths?? all the program will show you is that the horse won by half a length and you won't know that the winner and the second place horse obliterated the field. THIS is what you look for in the charts, but you focus only on second place finishers that were ahead of the rest of the field by 6 lengths or more. what the average race goer will see is a horse that finished second by half a length, what you WILL SEE AND KNOW is that this horse almost won the race by more than 6 lengths. we focus on betting second place finishers in this manner solely because horses that won their last race tend to get over bet and usually you will not get big odds on these horses. but second placers get less betting action and have much more generous odds. what are the odds a horse that finished second, WITHIN A LENGTH OF THE LEADER ( A CLOSE RACE ) and was 6 lengths or more ahead of the rest of the horses?? 40 percent. this is a staggering win rate, most favorites average 33 percent. and the beauty of this is that this information is hidden and not apparent on the daily racing form. for a 40 percent win rate you should be getting odds just above even money.....about 6-5, 7-5 odds......but these hidden second place finishers, which essentially are 6 length or more winners will go off at much bigger odds than those in their next race. you'll get 3-1, 4-1 even bigger odds than 10-1 on these horses the nest time they race and they will win 40 percent of the time. you're welcome. this will work both for harness racing and thoroughbred racing. ( the only draw back is you don't get many plays but do you want to bet a lot of races or make money? the few successful racevtrack players do not bet every race but wait for these solid plays and bet big when they see them. )Que Lo Nuestro Se Quede Nuestro
New notes
